Kamala Harris Flips Battleground State in Electoral College Map Model

Vice President Kamala Harris is set to win Nevada, according to election analytics firm 338Canada’s most recent prediction model, after trailing behind former President Donald Trump for the last few weeks.
On the day before the election, many will be scrambling to look at polls and prediction models to get an idea of who will win the presidential race that has looked extremely tight for some time now.
In 338Canada’s update on Sunday, Harris holds the lead in the crucial swing state of Nevada at 53 percent over Trump’s 47 percent.
Although the pair were tied last Wednesday, Trump has been ahead of Harris in the state for most of October, after he closed in on her lead in September.
Harris winning Nevada would make the odds of her winning the Electoral College 75 percent, according to 338Canada.
The model gives Harris 276 Electoral College votes in its most recent prediction, up from the 270 votes it gave her on October 17. Comparatively, the most recent prediction gives Trump 262 Electoral College votes, down from 268 in the October 17 forecast.
Meanwhile, polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has given Trump the lead in Nevada with a razor-thin margin—47.9 percent over Harris’s 47.3 percent.
FiveThirtyEight has Trump ahead in the swing states of Arizona (49.1 percent over Harris’s 46.5 percent), North Carolina (48.4 percent over Harris’s 47.2 percent), and Pennsylvania by a razor-thin margin (47.9 percent over Harris’ 47.7 percent).
The aggregator has put Harris ahead in the swing states of Michigan (47.9 percent over Trump’s 47.1 percent) and Wisconsin (48.2 percent over Trump’s 47.4 percent).
Meanwhile, the vice president enjoyed multiple polling boosts over the weekend after she came out on top in a British “mega poll” with a sample size of more than 31,000, a new Iowa poll, and in several battleground states in the final New York Times/Sienna College poll.
The shock Iowa poll, carried out by pollster Ann Selzer for The Des Moines Register, gave Harris a three-point lead in the deep-red state although this falls within the survey’s margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
In response to these polls, Trump’s campaign released a memo on Sunday criticizing the polls stating that the data is being used to “diminish voter enthusiasm.”
Polling analyst Nate Silver has also warned that Trump is often underestimated in polls. “Trump supporters often have lower civic engagement and social trust, so they can be less inclined to complete a survey from a news organization,” he wrote in an NYT column this week.
FiveThirtyEight’s most recent aggregate for national polls has Harris with a razor-thin lead—47.9 percent over Trump’s 47 percent.
Newsweek has contacted teams for Trump and Harris, via email outside of normal working hours, for comment.